Saturday, March 12, 2011

Profiles of the Future: An Enquiry into the Limits of the Possible



Arthur C. Clarke formulated the following three "laws" of prediction:

  1. When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.
  2. The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into the impossible.
  3. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

Although the Third Law is quoted most often in speculative fiction, I prefer the Second.

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